Searching for overrated MLB free agents

In a (very long if you read the whole thing) Part 1 of this series, we looked at potentially-underrated MLB free agents. All of the methodology, calibration notes, etc., are located in that post. Here, we’re just going to dive right in, using the existing methodology, and look at the flip side: who might be overrated in terms of their predicted free agent contract dollars, relative to what their projections suggest they should get?

I should note here that you will see a dearth of relievers on this list. Why? It’s not because real outlays on relievers ever look like a good idea. Rather, it’s just because most relievers aren’t predicted to get big money anyway, so the “miss” ends up being…