Sep. 8—According to ESPN's statistical probabilities regarding which Major League Baseball teams will reach the postseason and which won't, the Atlanta Braves — who entered Tuesday night with a 1.5-game lead over Philadelphia — have a 69.7 percent chance of making the playoffs to the Phillies' 39.2 percent chance.
However, break down the remaining schedule for each team and you wonder if those percentages shouldn't be reversed.
For instance, the Phillies have 17 games remaining against teams that are currently at least 10 games under .500. The Braves have but 13 such contests.