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How the Braves might beat the Reds

Let’s start with a disclaimer: this is not an analysis. Nothing contained below talks about how the Braves match up with the Reds, how one team’s weakness can be exploited by the other’s strength, or anything like that. This is a thought exercise with more modeling than thought, and that’s about it.

Probably the coolest thing about baseball is the variety. In chess, there are 400 possible board states after each player takes one move; this number balloons to nearly 200,000 after two moves, and well over 100 million after three moves.