Clutch and Anti-Clutch

After the Swanson Miracle Homer, I posted a list of the top single-game WPA performances in Braves history. Dansby’s walk-off homer had a WPA (WPA, or Win Probability Added, is the winning probability after you come to the plate minus the winning probability before you come to the plate) of 0.89, and when you total up the rest of his at-bats in the game, his aggregate WPA was 0.861, which was the 27th best performance in Braves history. That single play, the two-out 2 run homer in the bottom of the 9th, is darn close to the best you can do, but I haven’t yet found a way to search individual play WPAs, so per-game WPAs are the best you do. As you can imagine, though, the top performances are dominated by walk-off hits with teams behind with two outs. The single best aggregate WPA in Braves history is this game in which Hank Aaron not only hit a 3 run homer with one out in the bottom of the 11th and the Braves trailing by 2 (note that that play is only worth 0.68 because there was only one out) but also:

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