Arizona has a 68.2 percent chance to defeat Baylor and a 49.1 percent to defeat Arizona State in the updated ESPN Football Power Index simulations. The ESPN FPI projects Arizona with a 33.4 percent chance to win each of its final two 2025 regular-season games.
Arizona is projected to finish with 8.2 wins and 3.8 losses per the ESPN FPI simulations. The numbers for Arizona increased from a 60.7 percent chance of defeating Baylor and a 43.9 percent chance of beating Arizona State after week 11 results.
Arizona won 30-24 at then 25th-ranked Cincinnati on Saturday.