The Diamondbacks’ season wins are predicted every year by the staff and friends of the AZ Snake Pit. You will see those predictions very soon, including a summary of my prediction. The details of my prediction follow.
Last season, my optimistic win prediction was 80 wins. Instead, they won 74 games (6 wins less than predicted). The prediction was based on Diamondbacks scoring 765 runs, while allowing 737 runs. Instead they scored 702 runs (ouch) and allowed 740 runs (extremely close to predicted). This season’s prediction was developed with a different approach.
In February, the 81 wins predicted by ZiPS seemed optimistic.