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Best bets for Week 1: Will TCU spoil Belichick's Heels debut; Can FSU hang with Bama?

Week 1 is here, and my card feels like a mix of puzzle pieces and gut checks. Let's just say the board has a little bit of everything: live 'dogs, sneaky unders and one favorite, which I almost never back but couldn't ignore.

Heads up, you'll see Florida State catching double digits at home against Alabama. The surface-level stats scream stay away, but sometimes the story behind the numbers matters more than the numbers themselves.

Then there's a matchup where I'm leaning on tempo and chemistry, or really, the lack of it. Fast pace doesn't always mean points, and Week 1 installs can be messy.