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How Many Goals Can Marcus Johansson Score?

Marcus Johansson had his best year at an opportune time, posting career-best marks of 20 goals and 47 points in 2014-15. With his arbitration hearing this morning, the Capitals should have some cost certainty with Johansson within the next 48 hours, whether on a one-year or multi-year deal (with what will likely be around a $4 million cap hit).

His performance last season (87th among forwards in points and 83rd in goals) seems to merit roughly the 100th biggest cap hit, and at his age, term shouldn't be a concern. But the key question is whether he can sustain it — after all, mustering eight goals and 44 points while playing with Alex Ovechkin and Nicklas Backstrom isn't quite the same as scoring 20 as the primary or secondary driver of offense on a line with a rookie winger-turned-center and middle-six right wing.