The defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs are the No. 1 team in ESPN's Football Power Index rankings for the 2023 NFL season. But interestingly, the model actually views the Philadelphia Eagles -- who lost to the Chiefs in the title game last season -- as the Super Bowl favorite. It's a result of the vast difference in quality between the NFL's two conferences: The AFC is loaded with talent, while the NFC appears to have only a few contenders, paving the way for Philly.
For the uninitiated, the Football Power Index -- commonly referred to as the FPI -- is our rating and projection model for NFL teams.