The fifth week of the season separates the contenders from the pretenders. The majority of non-conference play is in the books and schools are in the early stages of their conference schedules.
A 4-0 or 3-1 record for most Power 5 teams makes postseason play a good bet. Those teams must win two or three of their eight remaining games to become bowl-eligible. Generally speaking, those are pretty good odds.
MORE: Bender's bowl projections
For teams with fewer than three wins, the path to a warm, tropical place in late December or early January may be a little tricky.