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College football's preseason SP+ rankings and takeaways

College football's offseason might have changed dramatically through the years thanks to transfers, changes in the recruiting calendar, et cetera. But there is at least one constant in this topsy-turvy world: It's early-February, so I'm cranking out winter SP+ projections.

The official 2024 recruiting cycle is in the books, and while we will see loads of further player movement in April and May, after spring football, things are relatively stable for the moment. So let's take our first step toward the 2024 season.

I base SP+ projections on three primary factors, weighted by their predictiveness:

1.