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Ohio State as preseason No. 14 is just about right for next season

The advanced stats are a little down on the 2016 Buckeyes -- why is that?

For their part, last season's preseason S&P+ projections had the eventual national champion Crimson Tide at the top of the S&P+, followed by Ohio State at 2nd. This year, the Buckeyes come in at a disappointing 14th.

Thanks to Bill's individual rankings for each of the three components of the rankings, it's easy to see where that pessimism comes from. While they rank 5th in recruiting impact and 3rd in five-year weighted S&P+, the Buckeyes are 18th in returning production.