As the NBA playoffs got underway less than 10 days ago, our algorithms gave the Memphis Grizzlies just a 17.06% chance of making it out of their first-round matchup with the San Antonio Spurs. At that, the most likely outcome (at 28.43%) was a Spurs win in five games.
Four games in, a five-game victory for the Spurs is no longer in the cards. The two teams have held serve at home and are tied 2-2 as the series shifts back to San Antonio for Game 5.
Riding the momentum of two straight wins, do the Grizzlies have the advantage?