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Predicting Astros batter regression in 2018

The Astros had an historic offense in 2017. The club ranked first in the major leagues in Runs, first in RBI, best in strikeout percentage, first in Isolated Power, first in batting average, first in On-Base Percentage, first in Slugging Percentage, first in weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+), and first in fWAR.

In fact, the Astros’ offensive component of fWAR was 161.8, which was not only more than twice as high as the second-spot Yankees (72.8), it ranks as the 7th-best offensive season out of 2,482 since 1901 when the modern era of baseball began.