Jimbo Fisher keeps saying that his Florida State Seminoles are just “one play away.” From what, I’m not sure.
Certainly not one play away per game from being an elite team.
FSU sits at 2-4, and is about as close to being 0-6 as it is 4-2. The team should probably be 3-3 based on how it has played.
But in some games, FSU has been legitimately unlucky to lose. For instance, the Seminoles had a 70% chance to beat NC State, and a 77% chance to beat Miami, given neutral luck.
Against Louisville, however, FSU was lucky.