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Breaking down the FanGraphs ZiPS projection

Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections have established themselves as an offseason staple over the past several years. His 2020 rendition for the Colorado Rockies features a handful of surprises, along with some thought-provoking ideas and some brutal honesty.

While the ZiPS projections are extremely comprehensive, there remains some interesting insights to break down. Let’s start with the position players:

Offense

“The team’s offense is largely reliant on having two-to-three players in any given season being MVP candidates, with Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story likely being those two players again in 2020.”

Szymborski wastes no time in describing the Rockies’ offense as “one of the worst teams in the majors.