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All they need is three miracles

Yesterday’s 4-3 loss to the Cleveland Guardians was a crushing one, though it did not completely end the Cincinnati Reds chances of making the 2023 playoffs. It effectively ended them, though the math of the situation suggests there’s still a greater than zero possibility they make it in.

What kind of chance do they have, exactly? According to Codify, it ain’t too pretty.

4 days left in the regular season!

AL PLAYOFF CHANCES
100% BAL TB MIN
99% TEX
91% TOR
84% HOU
27% SEA

NL PLAYOFF CHANCES
100% ATL LA PHI MIL
98% ARI
69% MIA
29% CHC
4% CIN— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) September 28, 2023

A 4% chance is barely a chance, yet it’s still a chance.