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A hunch that Red Sox will go into spin mode if Xander Bogaerts departs in free agency

Playing nine innings while wondering whether Chaim Bloom will keep his job long enough to reap the full benefits of his rebuilt farm system …

1. Strong hunch on what happens with Xander Bogaerts, free agent shortstop: Chaim Bloom and the Red Sox will say “Bogey is our first choice” right up until he signs elsewhere — Cardinals? Phillies? Dodgers? — and then management will try to spin it like it was his decision to leave even though the only organization Bogaerts has ever known will not have made a competitive, sincere offer to retain him. Semi-reasonable, slightly desperate pathway for Bogaerts to stay in Boston: He gets lost a bit in a stacked shortstop market that includes Trea Turner and Carlos Correa and ends up coming back to the Red Sox for something like six years and $190 million.