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Why Justin Forsett Is a Value Pick in Fantasy Football This Year

Running backs are by far the toughest position to draft with any consistency in fantasy football every single year. It's not close.

In recent seasons, runners drafted as a top-12 back overall typically finish as a "RB1" (top-12) just 50% of the time, according to historical bust rates. This means that -- for every running back drafted in the RB1-RB12 range in average draft position (ADP) who returns value by finishing inside the top 12 at the end of the year -- one running back simply won't.

This leaves us with a dilemma. Everyone needs running backs in fantasy football, so how can we find safer bets?