The Wisconsin Badgers did what very few teams can achieve in a season, knocking off the NET No. 1 and the NET No. 4 teams. To make the feat even rarer, Wisconsin won both of those games as an unranked team. Both games were considered incredible long-shot odds, improbable, and very unlikely. Against Illinois, they were nearly 11-point underdogs, and ESPN Analytics before the game had the win probability at 15.1%.
Throughout the game, ESPN adjusts that up and down depending on how the game is going. At one point, when the Badgers were down 12 in the second half, Wisconsin had a 1.