The Leafs have a 12.5% chance — one in 8 odds — at first overall tonight when commissioner Gary Bettman draws the lottery ball that will determine which playoff qualifying round also-ran will replace the Team E placeholder, which won the NHL draft lottery back in late June despite 2.5% odds, triggering this second phase of the lottery.
For some perspective, the Leafs‘ odds tonight at first overall are better than all but Ottawa and Detroit’s were originally before the first phase of the lottery was completed — better than San Jose, LA, Anaheim, and so on.