Vegas says the Phillies should win roughly 85 games in 2020. PECOTA gives them just 77 wins, 4 LESS than last year's team with a coaching staff that included Gabe freaking Kapler, Chris freaking Young, and John freaking Mallee. It's worth noting that PECOTA pegged the Atlanta Braves for just 83 wins, which might be even more ridiculous.
I would not be at all surprised to see the Phillies' win total begin with the number nine. I came to that conclusion using an extremely high-tech formula that minds inferior to mine could not possibly comprehend. My process was this: go position by position and determine how many wins the Phillies should add or subtract to the total compared to last season.