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How safe is Pat Fitzgerald?

A few weeks ago, our Henry Bushnell was one of many SB Nation site managers who received an email from Pete Volk, an SB Nation college football deputy editor. Volk was working on an article about the job security of various college football coaches, and posed the following question:

What is the lowest number of wins Northwestern has to get in 2015 in order for Pat Fitzgerald to keep his job?

After a staff discussion in which the numbers "2", "-1" and "0" were thrown around, Henry sent in the following answer:

For Pat Fitzgerald, the lowest number of wins is 0.