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Fantasy Football: Tevin Coleman's Average Draft Position Is a Trap

Related Topics: Tevin Coleman, The Falcons

The Falcons running back is due for a regression in 2017, which makes it hard to justify how high he's going in fantasy drafts.

Earlier this week, we wrote about how Matt Ryan is being drafted too early in fantasy drafts this summer. His average draft position (ADP) currently reflects an upper range of outcomes based on last year's results without taking inevitable regression into account.

Unsustainable Production

To understand why I'm advocating to pass on Coleman where he's being drafted, let's look at his statistics from last season.

Net Expected Points (NEP) is a metric that describes the contribution a play (or player) makes to a team’s chances of scoring.